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4 Towards dealing with the complexity of modelling agents - modelling modelling

4.4 Processes of model development


So far I have talked about the universe of such models (the modelling language) and the way candidate models are evaluated (the complexity-specificity-accuracy trade-off). The last main aspect of capturing such modelling is the mechanism by which new models are developed.

Despite the fact that there are a multitude of candidate mechanisms to choose from in AI and cognitive science two mechanisms have dominated economic models of learning: those of optimization and evolution (GA/GP/EP etc.). Of these approaches those based on the GP paradigm [13] appear the most appropriate, due to the potentially expressive format of the genome. Using such an approach one can represent an agent as a population of competing mental models [8]; a possible architecture for such an agent is shown in figure 3.

Figure 3: Using a genetic population to model an economic agent

The evolutionary approach has the weakness that the development of variation is blind to the process of selection. In other words it avoids the intentionality inherent in human learning. There are, however many other credible models for learning [3].


From Complexity to Agent Modelling and Back Again - Bruce Edmonds - 15 MAY 97
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